An African Economic Model?

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Source - The Guardian

Suppose someone were to describe a small country that provided free education through university for all of its citizens, transport for school children and free healthcare – including heart surgery – for all. You might suspect that such a country is either phenomenally rich or on the fast track to fiscal crisis.

After all, rich countries in Europe have increasingly found they cannot pay for university education, and are asking young people and their families to bear the costs. For its part, the US has never attempted to give free college for all, and it took a bitter battle just to ensure that America's poor get access to healthcare – a guarantee that the Republican party is now working hard to repeal, claiming the country cannot afford it.

But Mauritius, a small island nation off the east coast of Africa, is neither particularly rich nor on its way to budgetary ruin. Nonetheless, it has spent the last decades successfully building a diverse economy, a democratic political system and a strong social safety net. Many countries, not least the US, could learn from its experience.

In a recent visit to this tropical archipelago of 1.3 million people, I had a chance to see some of the leaps Mauritius has taken – accomplishments that can seem bewildering in light of the debate in the US and elsewhere. Consider home ownership: while American conservatives say the government's attempt to extend home ownership to 70% of the US population was responsible for the financial meltdown, 87% of Mauritians own their own homes – without fuelling a housing bubble.

Now comes the painful number: Mauritius's GDP has grown faster than 5% annually for almost 30 years. Surely, this must be some "trick". Mauritius must be rich in diamonds, oil, or some other valuable commodity. But Mauritius has no exploitable natural resources. Indeed, so dismal were its prospects as it approached independence from Britain, which came in 1968, that the Nobel prize-winning economist James Meade wrote in 1961: "It is going to be a great achievement if [the country] can find productive employment for its population without a serious reduction in the existing standard of living … [The] outlook for peaceful development is weak."

As if to prove Meade wrong, the Mauritians have increased per capita income from less than $400 around the time of independence to more than $6,700 today. The country has progressed from the sugar-based monoculture of 50 years ago to a diversified economy that includes tourism, finance, textiles, and, if current plans bear fruit, advanced technology.

During my visit, my interest was to understand better what had led to what some have called the Mauritius miracle, and what others might learn from it. There are, in fact, many lessons, some of which should be borne in mind by politicians in the US and elsewhere as they fight their budget battles.

First, the question is not whether we can afford to provide healthcare or education for all, or ensure widespread home ownership. If Mauritius can afford these things, America and Europe – which are several orders of magnitude richer – can too. The question, rather, is how to organise society. Mauritians have chosen a path that leads to higher levels of social cohesion, welfare and economic growth – and to a lower level of inequality.

Second, unlike many other small countries, Mauritius has decided that most military spending is a waste. The US need not go as far: just a fraction of the money that America spends on weapons that don't work against enemies that don't exist would go a long way toward creating a more humane society, including provision of healthcare and education to those who cannot afford them.

Third, Mauritius recognised that without natural resources, its people were its only asset. Maybe that appreciation for its human resources is also what led Mauritius to realise that, particularly given the country's potential religious, ethnic, and political differences – which some tried to exploit in order to induce it to remain a British colony – education for all was crucial to social unity. So was a strong commitment to democratic institutions and co-operation between workers, government, and employers – precisely the opposite of the kind of dissension and division being engendered by conservatives in the US today.

This is not to say that Mauritius is without problems. Like many other successful emerging-market countries, it is confronting a loss of exchange-rate competitiveness. And, as more and more countries intervene to weaken their exchange rates in response to America's attempt at competitive devaluation through quantitative easing, the problem is becoming worse. Almost surely, Mauritius, too, will have to intervene.

Moreover, like many other countries around the world, Mauritius worries today about imported food and energy inflation. To respond to inflation by increasing interest rates would simply compound the difficulties of high prices with high unemployment and an even less competitive exchange rate. Direct interventions, restrictions on short-term capital inflows, capital gains taxes and stabilising prudential banking regulations will all have to be considered.

The Mauritius Miracle dates to independence. But the country still struggles with some of its colonial legacies: inequality in land and wealth, as well as vulnerability to high-stakes global politics. The US occupies one of Mauritius's offshore islands, Diego Garcia, as a naval base without compensation, officially leasing it from the UK, which not only retained the Chagos Islands in violation of the UN and international law, but also expelled its citizens and refuses to allow them to return.

The US should now do right by this peaceful and democratic country: recognise Mauritius's rightful ownership of Diego Garcia, renegotiate the lease and redeem past sins by paying a fair amount for land that it has illegally occupied for decades

Copyright: Project Syndicate 2011

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Other Small and Medium countries in Africa like Somaliland, Djibouti and Eritrea should adopt a similar model of socioeconomic development within their own national context. If we looked up Mauritius' social and economic indicators such as Human Development Index score, GDP per capita, life expectancy and illiteracy then you will be totally staggered.

[gurey25]

thats not gonna fly,
the Mauritius economic miracle along with the asian tigers were a product of the cold war and the aftermath of the end of the cold war with the financialization of the US economy and massive imports.
The export model will not work anymore because the US market along with the EU market will keep getting smaller and smaller
and allot of the manufacturing jobs currently in china and other countries will go back home due to new technology.
The Asians are also building their own trade hub and will trade mostly between themselves to reduce dependence on shrinking US and EU markets.

in such an atomesphere the export model will not work, but some variation of the import substitution model and general protectionism will come into play.

this is my forecast for 2020-2040

[BigBreak]

fair comment gurey, i believe countries like somaliland should not totally have trade with the outside world but rather our economy should be half closed and half open. even when we trade with the outside we must make sure that no more than 20% of trade should be with a single country/subcontinent - that way it saves us from being dependent on a particular part of the world

[gurey25]

fair comment gurey, i believe countries like somaliland should not totally have trade with the outside world but rather our economy should be half closed and half open. even when we trade with the outside we must make sure that no more than 20% of trade should be with a single country/subcontinent - that way it saves us from being dependent on a particular part of the world

thats only possible for a more developed country, and trade is good, the more trade you have the better.
you just need to make sure the trade is not skewed towards one side, and you should manufacture everything that you can.
that means food processing, textiles, light manufacturing, construction material etc etc etc
the problem is that only independent countries can get away with this policy, and few countries are independent from the banking interests of the west today.
There was the short time period between 1945 and 1991 called the cold war, that you could get away with having an independent economic policy.
Today there is complete 100% domination and they will invade your country and bring "democracy" and "freedom" to you
if you forget your place and resist the banking insterest i.e corporations.
If you pull your pants down and bend over inviting them to ****.
you will be rewarded with the title " Reformer".

now you know, when you watch the news whenever you hear " reformer"
you know what that persons ideology is.

[LiquidHYDROGEN]

thats not gonna fly,
the Mauritius economic miracle along with the asian tigers were a product of the cold war and the aftermath of the end of the cold war with the financialization of the US economy and massive imports.
The export model will not work anymore because the US market along with the EU market will keep getting smaller and smaller
and allot of the manufacturing jobs currently in china and other countries will go back home due to new technology.
The Asians are also building their own trade hub and will trade mostly between themselves to reduce dependence on shrinking US and EU markets.

in such an atomesphere the export model will not work, but some variation of the import substitution model and general protectionism will come into play.

this is my forecast for 2020-2040

I've always said Somalilands greatest advantage is that it has African countries next door. Why don't we develop industry for cheap goods and services and export them to our poor African neighbours. There was a time when Hyundai was a cheap, poorly made piece of scrap-metal sold cheaply to third-world consumers.

[PrinceDaadi]

I've always said Somalilands greatest advantage is that it has African countries next door. Why don't we develop industry for cheap goods and services and export them to our poor African neighbours. There was a time when Hyundai was a cheap, poorly made piece of scrap-metal sold cheaply to third-world consumers.

Abdi: to develop export based economy you need semi skilled cheap labor which is not available in SL. 1st you need to educated the people and to build a lot of vocational schools, 2nd you will need to lower the cost of living other wise goods from east asia will be cheaper after tax and transportation even if SL was in Comesa.

Recently Kenya was losing number of major international manufacturing companies because the production cost has shot up ad companies r just moving to Egypty and ship back the product to kenya and pay 2% comesa tax plus VAT and still cheaper than producing in Kenya.

[LiquidHYDROGEN]

I've always said Somalilands greatest advantage is that it has African countries next door. Why don't we develop industry for cheap goods and services and export them to our poor African neighbours. There was a time when Hyundai was a cheap, poorly made piece of scrap-metal sold cheaply to third-world consumers.

Abdi: to develop export based economy you need semi skilled cheap labor which is not available in SL. 1st you need to educated the people and to build a lot of vocational schools, 2nd you will need to lower the cost of living other wise goods from east asia will be cheaper after tax and transportation even if SL was in Comesa.

Recently Kenya was losing number of major international manufacturing companies because the production cost has shot up ad companies r just moving to Egypty and ship back the product to kenya and pay 2% comesa tax plus VAT and still cheaper than producing in Kenya.

I know, I was just using a hypothetical which addresses gureys issue of a shrinking market in the west. Africa is a huge gold-mine in terms of market potential.

[PrinceDaadi]

Abdi: if you r interested in this topic you might read this book bought it the other day but havnt read it yet. the global South is the future and sub saharan Africa is where to be if you are in to money making.


btw coping Mauritius economic miracle will not be easy, a lot of things have to come together.